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Hedging your bets by weighting regressions?
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Incompetence or fraud hidden in plain sight
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“The traffic accidents study exposes the lamentable state of Covid-19 science”
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Rosenthal’s textbook: A First Look at Rigorous Probability Theory
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Stan class at NYR Conference in July (in person and virtual)
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“This is a story some economists like to tell . . .”
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In the past fifty years, real life has caught up with Life of Brian.
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Junk science: It’s not just for Ted talks, NPR features, and airport bestsellers. It can also ruin p
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blme: Bayesian Linear Mixed-Effects Models
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Before data analysis: Additional recommendations for designing experiments to learn about the world
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Jurassic AI extinction
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Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) vs. survey sample weighting
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OK, I was wrong about Paul Samuelson.
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“The narrow beach between the continent of clear effects and the sea of confusion”: that sweet spot
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What exactly is a “preregistration”?
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“The series is inspired by Dan Ariely’s novel ‘Predictably Irrational’ . . .”
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Maybe Paul Samuelson and his coauthors should’ve spent less time on dominance games and “boss moves”
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New open access journal on visualization and interaction
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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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The mistake comes when it is elevated from a heuristic to a principle.
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Effect size expectations and common method bias
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Open review, comments, and continued conversation
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Coming to theaters near you, some summer, sometime, maybe soon
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This is Jessica. I mostly try to ignore the more hype-y AI posts all over my social media. But when
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Intellectuals sometimes like to make statements, and some even try to monetize them, but how did thi
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It makes one wonder if this coalition is privy to some sort of special knowledge about how we go fro
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Maybe we need to put ourselves in the shoes of the AI researcher who has spent their career being ce
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So maybe extinction appears as an easy way to signal being concerned about AI. It puts you in the he
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But its confusing … when did it become cool again to be the dramatic AI guy? I can remember a facult
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This seemingly rapid leap–from how language models that predict the next word can generate human-see
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I can understand how AI researchers who have been raising concerns about AI safety for years would f